Arcos CF vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+169%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
ARC
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 0
SEV
43%
26%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARC
42%
26%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 2
ECI
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 1
CDG
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CIS
0 - 1
SAN
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
UTR
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 2
SAN
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 0
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
ECI
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |