Arcos CF vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
ARC
61%
23%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 2
EGA
52%
23%
25%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 1
ARC
36%
26%
38%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 2
CCF
22%
25%
53%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 0
ARC
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIS
2 - 2
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
UDT
1 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EGA
1 - 4
CAS
35%
25%
41%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |