Arcos CF vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+169%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 2
ARC
62%
22%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ARC
0 - 2
XER
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CEU
2 - 0
ARC
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAB
2 - 1
ARC
44%
26%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 0
LEB
42%
25%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 0
CAS
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
COR
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LAP
2 - 2
CAS
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
CRD
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +3 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SRQ
2 - 1
CAS
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |