Arcos CF vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ECI
0 - 1
ARC
69%
19%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ARC
4 - 2
SRO
31%
26%
44%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAD
4 - 1
ARC
37%
26%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 2
SEV
33%
27%
41%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAI
5 - 1
ARC
41%
27%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAS
5 - 1
COR
87%
10%
3%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ATC
1 - 4
CAS
13%
21%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
LCF
49%
24%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
UTR
2 - 0
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |