Arcos CF vs AD Ceuta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAD
10%
20%
70%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
POZ
1 - 1
ARC
58%
23%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ARC
0 - 1
LAP
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
XER
1 - 1
ARC
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ARC
2 - 0
AYA
84%
12%
4%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AD Ceuta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 0
CEU
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
CEU
1 - 2
LAR
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CEU
0 - 2
SRQ
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 2
CEU
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CEU
4 - 0
CAD
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |