Arcos vs Norma San Leonardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
47.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PIQ
2 - 0
ARC
71%
17%
12%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ARC
2 - 2
ABE
49%
22%
29%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TAR
1 - 0
ARC
87%
10%
3%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 0
QUI
17%
20%
63%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
ARC
82%
11%
7%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Norma San Leonardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 5
LAN
9%
15%
76%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GOL
6 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 2
VIS
18%
20%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SJE
4 - 2
NOR
33%
23%
44%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -1 |