Arcos vs San Esteban analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
75.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
EST
2 - 2
ARC
86%
10%
4%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 3
VAL
10%
16%
74%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GOL
6 - 2
ARC
85%
10%
5%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 6
NAV
50%
20%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PIQ
1 - 1
ARC
56%
21%
23%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
TAR
2 - 2
EST
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
EST
2 - 2
ARC
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
EST
10%
15%
75%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
EST
5 - 1
COV
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 2
EST
12%
15%
72%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |