Arcos vs Quintana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
63.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
ARC
82%
11%
7%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 3
VAL
8%
14%
79%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
EST
6 - 1
ARC
87%
10%
4%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LAN
5 - 2
ARC
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ARC
0 - 1
COV
55%
20%
25%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
QUI
3 - 0
LAN
10%
16%
73%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
COV
1 - 1
QUI
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 2
CAS
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 2
QUI
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
QUI
3 - 1
SJE
53%
21%
26%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |