Arconatese vs Stresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
ARC
66%
21%
13%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 1
APD
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 1
SAV
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARC
76%
15%
10%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 1
LAV
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
STR
1 - 2
SAN
7%
14%
79%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
STR
1 - 2
LEC
8%
15%
78%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
BUS
3 - 0
STR
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
STR
1 - 0
SES
15%
21%
65%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 1
STR
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |