Arconatese vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 1
FOL
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ACL
2 - 1
ARC
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
USP
1 - 1
ARC
22%
25%
54%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 2
CAL
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FAN
1 - 4
GER
24%
26%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
GER
2 - 1
CRE
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SCA
0 - 0
GER
14%
22%
64%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GER
1 - 0
SAM
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEN
1 - 1
GER
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |