Arconatese vs Club Milano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
18º
20º
18º
32
9º
19º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
49 | 73 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
54 | 72 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 68 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 67 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 66 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 65 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 61 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 56 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 55 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 52 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 50 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 47 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 42 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 41 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 41 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 40 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 36 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
20º
|
18 | 35 |
18º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 34 |
19º
|
28.5% | |
|
19º
|
20 | 32 |
20º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CRE
3 - 2
ARC
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 3
PRO
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OSP
4 - 0
ARC
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | -3 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 4
DES
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
ARC
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Club Milano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 1
PAL
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
MIL
21%
21%
58%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 3
SON
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
MIL
56%
20%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 0
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +4 |