Arconatese vs Ciliverghe Mazzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+113%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
18º
20º
18º
20
5º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
49 | 73 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
54 | 72 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 68 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 67 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 66 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 65 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 61 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 56 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 55 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 52 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 50 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 47 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 42 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 41 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 41 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 40 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 36 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
20º
|
18 | 35 |
18º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 34 |
19º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
20 | 32 |
20º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52.5% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VIG
0 - 1
ARC
27%
22%
51%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 0
MIL
62%
19%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CRE
3 - 2
ARC
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 3
PRO
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OSP
4 - 0
ARC
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | -3 |
Matches
Ciliverghe Mazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CIL
3 - 0
PAL
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
CIL
59%
19%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CIL
1 - 3
SON
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 4
CIL
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CIL
1 - 4
CAS
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |