Arconatese vs Chieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 0
ARC
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 0
SER
45%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
ARC
17%
20%
64%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 0
PAV
14%
18%
69%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +5 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 0
ARC
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 1
CHI
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
4 - 2
DER
86%
11%
4%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
CHI
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 3
COM
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |