Arconatese vs Castellanzese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
ARC
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
3 - 2
DES
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
ARC
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
3 - 3
USP
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SON
0 - 1
ARC
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
ADR
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
FOL
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
USB
44%
22%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |