Arconatese vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
ARC
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAL
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 2
ARC
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 1
LEO
70%
17%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VCB
2 - 2
ARC
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 3
USB
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ADR
1 - 1
VCB
49%
22%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ADR
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
ADR
2 - 2
SON
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
ADR
23%
22%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |