ARC Alphense vs Rijnsburgse Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
62.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
KAT
4 - 0
ARC
79%
14%
8%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ARC
0 - 4
BAR
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ARC
1 - 3
NOO
22%
23%
56%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
3 - 1
ARC
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ARC
1 - 5
LIS
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Rijnsburgse Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NOO
1 - 1
RIJ
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RIJ
3 - 0
LIS
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 4
RIJ
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RIJ
0 - 0
BAR
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SPA
5 - 1
RIJ
54%
22%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |