ARC Alphense vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ARC
2 - 3
IJS
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ARC
3 - 1
HOE
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LIS
3 - 1
ARC
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 4
HHC
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 3
ARC
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 0
QUI
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 0
GEM
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 3
QUI
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
EVV
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
FCO
2 - 1
QUI
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |