ARC Alphense vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
56.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARC
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ARC
2 - 3
HHC
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
6 - 2
ARC
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
ARC
1 - 1
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 2
ARC
55%
22%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
MVV
3 - 1
FOR
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
FCD
3 - 3
MVV
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 1
MVV
42%
25%
34%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
MVV
2 - 1
BVV
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
VOL
2 - 0
MVV
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |