ARC Alphense vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ARC
1 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 0
ARC
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
HOE
1 - 0
ARC
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ARC
1 - 3
LIS
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HHC
0 - 1
ARC
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
HHC
0 - 0
KAT
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
KAT
2 - 0
LIS
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FLE
2 - 1
KAT
37%
24%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
KAT
1 - 2
RIJ
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
IJS
2 - 1
KAT
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |