ARC Alphense vs Genemuiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 8
MVV
22%
22%
57%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARC
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ARC
2 - 3
HHC
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
6 - 2
ARC
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
ARC
1 - 1
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
HSC
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 3
IJS
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
GEN
20%
21%
59%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 1
RIJ
38%
25%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
SVZ
0 - 1
GEN
30%
23%
47%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |