Arbroath vs Stirling University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ARB
2 - 0
FOR
27%
25%
49%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
EDI
3 - 3
ARB
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 0
CWB
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 1
BLA
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CLY
3 - 2
ARB
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stirling University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
STI
3 - 1
AFC
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
STI
2 - 1
CIV
63%
18%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PRE
4 - 3
STI
17%
19%
65%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 2
STI
28%
22%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
THE
4 - 1
STI
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |