Arbroath vs Stirling Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ARB
3 - 0
EAS
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
STE
2 - 0
ARB
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ARB
6 - 2
ALB
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +3 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LIV
6 - 0
ARB
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 2
DUN
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Stirling Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
STI
2 - 2
ALB
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DUM
1 - 5
STI
49%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
5 - 0
STI
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
STI
1 - 0
EAS
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
AIR
5 - 0
STI
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |