Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ARB
0 - 1
STR
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 5
ARB
16%
22%
62%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 0
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 0
EAS
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
STR
0 - 1
ARB
22%
24%
55%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
STE
4 - 2
FAL
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
STE
1 - 3
RAI
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DUM
2 - 1
STE
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
STE
0 - 2
STR
46%
23%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
AIR
0 - 1
STE
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |