Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
ARB
81%
13%
5%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
ARB
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 1
STR
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 3
QOS
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ARB
3 - 1
INV
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
STE
0 - 1
FAL
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
STE
0 - 2
ALL
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
STE
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
BER
2 - 5
STE
24%
22%
54%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STE
1 - 1
AYR
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |