Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
DUM
1 - 0
ARB
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 1
CWB
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 3
CLY
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
STI
2 - 2
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ALL
0 - 1
ARB
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
EAS
2 - 1
STE
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
STE
1 - 2
STI
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CLY
2 - 1
STE
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
STE
0 - 2
CWB
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 0
STE
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |