Arbroath vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
10º
8º
43
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
ARB
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ARB
0 - 2
MHE
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AYR
2 - 2
ARB
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 4
ICT
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 4
ARB
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RAI
2 - 2
ICT
48%
24%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 2
RAI
17%
22%
61%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
COV
2 - 2
RAI
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 1
RAI
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
RAI
1 - 1
DUN
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |