Arbroath vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
10º
3º
25
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 59 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 47 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
51% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
33.5% | 51% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STE
2 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARB
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 0
ARB
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 3
BLA
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 2
DUN
12%
18%
71%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
KHE
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CLY
0 - 1
MON
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
EDI
82%
12%
6%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
MHE
17%
21%
62%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |