Arbroath vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 0
ALL
19%
22%
58%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 2
ARB
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 3
KHE
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STE
2 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
COV
1 - 0
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
QOS
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 1
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
KHE
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |