Arbroath vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 2
ARB
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 0
ALB
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
ARB
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
HAM
2 - 1
ARB
78%
14%
7%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 4
ALL
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
BLA
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MON
4 - 1
THE
66%
19%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
FAL
20%
23%
58%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
MON
0 - 3
PET
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
THE
1 - 2
MON
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |