Arbroath vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 0
ELG
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CLY
2 - 5
ARB
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARB
0 - 2
EAS
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ARB
3 - 1
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 2
ARB
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MON
0 - 4
EAS
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
CLY
1 - 2
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ELG
0 - 1
MON
54%
21%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MON
0 - 2
ALB
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ARB
3 - 1
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |