Arbroath vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
53.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
10º
10º
45
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AYR
5 - 0
ARB
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ICT
2 - 1
ARB
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 2
AIR
18%
25%
58%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 3
DUN
23%
27%
50%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 1
PAR
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 4
DUN
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 1
GRE
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AIR
3 - 1
GRE
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
QUE
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |