Arbroath vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 1
ARB
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ARB
5 - 1
QOS
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 1
ARB
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
ARB
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ARB
3 - 3
RAI
45%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
ICT
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
HAM
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
RAI
0 - 1
GRE
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
KIL
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
AYR
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |