Arbroath vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
STR
1 - 1
ARB
35%
23%
41%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
STI
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ELG
5 - 7
ARB
38%
23%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 0
DUM
57%
21%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
DUM
2 - 1
ARB
38%
23%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
QOS
2 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
PAR
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
DUN
35%
24%
42%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
STE
1 - 2
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
ALB
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |