Arbroath vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CWB
2 - 3
ARB
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 3
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 0
ARB
34%
25%
42%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STI
1 - 1
ARB
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 0
DUM
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 4
EAS
36%
25%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DUM
1 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 3
STI
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 0
FOR
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 1
BRE
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |