Arbroath vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
ARB
0 - 0
STR
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
EAS
2 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ARB
0 - 1
THE
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ALB
0 - 2
ARB
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
ELG
2 - 1
ARB
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 1
DUM
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
STE
2 - 0
FOR
62%
20%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 4
ALB
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
DUM
0 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MON
2 - 2
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |