Arbroath vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 0
STE
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
ARB
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
STR
0 - 3
ARB
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
ARB
0 - 0
DUM
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ARB
2 - 1
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
STR
29%
26%
46%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
ARB
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ELG
3 - 1
FOR
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
ALB
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
THE
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |