Arbroath vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CWB
1 - 2
ARB
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ARB
0 - 1
EDI
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
ARB
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BLA
2 - 5
ARB
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ARB
0 - 1
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ELG
2 - 2
STI
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CLY
3 - 2
ELG
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ELG
1 - 1
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ELG
2 - 2
BER
69%
18%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
EDI
3 - 0
ELG
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |