Arbroath vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CLY
2 - 5
ARB
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARB
0 - 2
EAS
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ARB
3 - 1
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 2
ARB
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 0
ALB
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ELG
0 - 1
MON
54%
21%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 1
ELG
42%
24%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BLA
3 - 3
ELG
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ELG
1 - 0
CLY
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
THE
2 - 1
ELG
43%
23%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |