Arbroath vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
BLA
1 - 2
ARB
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
QUE
1 - 1
ARB
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ARB
3 - 0
ALB
57%
23%
19%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
STR
3 - 4
ARB
54%
22%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
ARB
3 - 5
THE
60%
22%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ELG
0 - 1
QUE
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CLY
3 - 3
ELG
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ELG
1 - 0
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 0
ELG
41%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ELG
2 - 1
STR
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |