Arbroath vs East Stirlingshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
BER
3 - 0
ARB
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
STI
1 - 0
ARB
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 1
CLY
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 0
THE
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 1
QUE
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
THE
0 - 3
CLY
35%
26%
40%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
THE
2 - 4
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
CLY
0 - 1
THE
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ELG
2 - 0
THE
76%
15%
10%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 0
THE
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |