Arbroath vs East Fife analysis

Arbroath East Fife
53 ELO 43
9.6% Tilt 14.4%
3836º General ELO ranking 4306º
41º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
72.4%
Arbroath
17.1%
Draw
10.5%
East Fife

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
Arbroath
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.5%
Win probability
East Fife
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arbroath
-15%
+23%
East Fife

ELO progression

Arbroath
East Fife
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2015
CLY
Clyde
1 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
26%
24%
50%
53 43 10 0
17 Jan. 2015
QUE
Queen's Park
2 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
35%
25%
40%
55 50 5 -2
03 Jan. 2015
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 2
Montrose
MON
78%
15%
7%
55 38 17 0
27 Dec. 2014
EAS
East Fife
1 - 5
Arbroath
ARB
25%
24%
51%
54 43 11 +1
20 Dec. 2014
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 0
Berwick Rangers
BER
56%
22%
22%
53 51 2 +1

Matches

East Fife
East Fife
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2015
EAS
East Fife
0 - 0
Queen's Park
QUE
35%
25%
40%
42 50 8 0
27 Dec. 2014
EAS
East Fife
1 - 5
Arbroath
ARB
25%
24%
51%
43 54 11 -1
20 Dec. 2014
CLY
Clyde
3 - 1
East Fife
EAS
51%
24%
26%
44 44 0 -1
13 Dec. 2014
BLA
Annan Athletic
2 - 1
East Fife
EAS
63%
20%
17%
45 50 5 -1
06 Dec. 2014
EAS
East Fife
3 - 0
Montrose
MON
61%
21%
18%
44 40 4 +1