Arbroath vs East Fife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 2
BRE
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 1
ARB
55%
21%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 0
ARB
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ARB
3 - 2
AIR
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STR
3 - 2
ARB
45%
22%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
EAS
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 4
GLA
8%
18%
74%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 2
EAS
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 4
AYR
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STE
1 - 1
EAS
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |