Arbroath vs East Fife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 2
ARB
43%
24%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
ARB
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 1
CEL
13%
18%
69%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 2
STE
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
EAS
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 2
STE
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
EAS
0 - 1
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 3
EAS
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
ARB
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |