Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 2
ARB
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ARB
4 - 2
STR
28%
24%
49%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STE
2 - 2
ARB
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 2
GLA
8%
19%
73%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AYR
2 - 1
ARB
69%
17%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUN
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 0
FOR
60%
21%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AIR
2 - 0
DUN
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 1
BRE
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 2
EAS
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | -1 |