Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
ARB
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 2
STR
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 3
GLA
9%
19%
72%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
STE
3 - 2
ARB
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ARB
2 - 2
EAS
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 4
DUN
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
AYR
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUN
36%
23%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 1
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |