Arbroath vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
77%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
ARB
2 - 2
TUR
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 0
MHE
8%
15%
76%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ELG
4 - 1
ARB
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 2
BER
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
DUN
12%
17%
71%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
KIL
2 - 4
DUN
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 3
PAR
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
ICT
2 - 3
DUN
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 1
DUN
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |