Scottish Championship Promotion Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2012 |
DUM
2 - 1
ARB
38%
23%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 3
ARB
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 2
STE
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARB
25%
25%
49%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 1
FOR
73%
17%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2012 |
DUM
2 - 1
ARB
38%
23%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
DUM
4 - 2
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
STI
1 - 2
DUM
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DUM
2 - 1
AIR
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DUM
0 - 2
STE
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |