Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
ARB
2 - 0
ALL
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
ARB
2 - 3
EAS
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
STE
1 - 0
ARB
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ARB
1 - 3
EAS
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BER
1 - 0
ARB
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
THE
4 - 2
DUM
35%
27%
39%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
THE
3 - 2
DUM
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
DUM
1 - 0
ELG
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
DUM
1 - 2
QUE
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
THE
1 - 5
DUM
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |