Arbroath vs Darvel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
RAI
1 - 2
ARB
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
AYR
1 - 0
ARB
24%
27%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 0
ICT
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 3
ARB
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ARB
2 - 1
GRE
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Darvel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
DFC
2 - 2
BRE
12%
15%
73%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 1
DFC
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
STR
0 - 1
DFC
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
KEI
1 - 2
DFC
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |