Arbroath vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
QUE
0 - 2
ARB
25%
24%
52%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 4
AYR
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
EAS
3 - 1
ARB
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ARB
7 - 1
AIR
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
RAI
2 - 0
ARB
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
EDI
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 0
BER
57%
21%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BER
1 - 0
CWB
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BER
0 - 1
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BER
1 - 0
BLA
41%
24%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |